Constant Growth Model

Constant Growth (Gordon) Model

Gordon Model is used to determine the current price of a security. The Gordon model assumes that the current price of a security will be affected by the dividends, the growth rate of the dividends, and the required rate of return by shareholders. Use the Gordon Model Calculator below to solve the formula.

Constant Growth (Gordon) Model Definition

Constant Growth Model is used to determine the current price of a share relative to its dividend payments, the expected growth rate of these dividends, and the required rate of return by investors in the market

Variables

Current Annual Dividends=Annual dividends paid to investors in the last year
K=Required rate of return by investors in the market
G=Expected constant growth rate of the annual dividend payments
Current Price=Current price of stock

Constant Growth (Gordon) Model Formula

Gordon Model

The Gordon Model, also known as the Constant Growth Rate Model, is a valuation technique designed to determine the value of a share based on the dividends paid to shareholders, and the growth rate of those dividends.

Dividends

Dividends are the most crucial to the development and implementation of the Gordon Model.  Investors buy shares in a company, and have two possible ways of receiving a financial benefit, they either receive dividends from the company, or they sell their shares and receive a capital gain if the price received is higher than the price paid. 

Assuming that a share will continue to exist in perpetuity, and that the company intends to pay dividends for as long as its shares are outstanding, we can logically develop a valuation technique based solely on the dividends paid.  

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Concept Of Present Value

Concept Of Present Value

Present value is important for corporate finance because the value of money is always changing with the times due to inflation and interest rates. What $100 can buy you now, may not even be able to buy you the same thing in a year from now.

People in finance use the concept of present value as standard for comparison. You can't compare money that is now with money a year from now. There's just too much change. If everyone kept it the same (present value) it would be easier to compare since the value is the same.

What is present value?

It is today’s value of a payment (or payments) to be received in the future.  It is the value today of a future payment or series of payments, discounted at the appropriate discount rate.

What determines this present value?

a)    the amount of the payment or payments, of course

b)    when in the future the payment(s) is to be made

c)    The earning power of money over that future period of time-—the appropriate interest rate to use to discount the future dollar amounts.

Specifically:  (other things constant)

a)    The greater the amount of the payment(s), the greater the present value.

b)    The more distant the future payment(s), the lower the present value.

c)    the higher the interest/discount rate, the lower the present value.

Present Value—viewed another way:

Present value answers the question of how much money would have to be set aside today—and invested (at the appropriate interest rate)—in order to accumulate the target (payment) amount by the payment date.

Hint:  think of discounting for present value as merely the reverse of compounding.

Using Present Value Tables:

First question:  Which table do I use?

Rule:  If it is a one-time payment, use the “Present Value” or “Present Value of $1” table.    If it is a series

of equal payments (an annuity), use the “Present Value

of an Annuity” or “Present Value of $1 per period” table.

For an instrument such as a Treasury bond, the interest payments represent an annuity, so use the “Present Value of an Annuity” table to determine the present value of the stream of interest income.  The return of the principal at maturity is a one-time payment, so use the “Present Value” table to calculate the value of that component.  The value of the bond is the sum of the two.  [Note:  the coupon rate on the bond only tells us the amount of the interest payments.  The appropriate interest rate to use for discounting purposes, the discount rate, depends on the market return on a security of the given risk, maturity, etc.]

Caution:  What if payments are more frequent than annual?  For example, Treasury bonds pay interest semi-annually.  In that case you must adjust the number of periods and also the interest rate used to discount the future payments.  So, a 20 year, $100,000, 6% coupon rate bond will involve 40 payments of $3,000 each.  If your discount rate is 8% (on annual basis), then you must halve it and discount the semi-annual payments using a 4% rate.